The 2026 Mets Prediction Series: Luis Robert Jr.
- Mark Rosenman
- 6 hours ago
- 2 min read
We are now less than two weeks away from Opening Day, which means across Mets Nation the annual ritual has begun.
No, not spring cleaning.
Prediction season.
From now until the first pitch of the season at Citi Field, we’re going to spend a few minutes each day here at Kiner’s Korner doing something Mets fans love almost as much as debating, 50 years later, whether Yogi Berra should have started George Stone in Game 6 and Tom Seaver in Game 7 of the 1973 World Series.
Trying to predict the future of the New York Mets.
And since none of us actually owns a functioning crystal ball (mine was recalled in 1993 after predicting the Mets would win 110 games), we’re going to lean on the next best things:
the oddsmakers in Las Vegas and the statistical supercomputers that churn out projections all winter long.
So what do the baseball fortune tellers think about the 2026 Mets?
Let’s continue with Luis Robert Jr.
If you’ve been reading KinersKorner.com for a while, you already know something about me: I occasionally get fixated on a player the way a kid gets fixated on a new baseball glove.
For the last two years, that player has been Luis Robert Jr..
I’ve been lobbying for the Mets to go get him. When the trade finally happened, I reacted the same way most Mets fans do when good news arrives: I looked around suspiciously to make sure nobody was about to tell me it was a clerical error.
Then I saw him in Spring Training, and the sound the ball made off his bat was not a normal baseball sound. It was more like the sound a bowling ball might make if it were fired out of a cannon and struck a car door.
That, my friends, is encouraging.
So let’s do what we’ve been doing in this series: consult the statistical crystal ball and set some over/unders for Robert’s first season in Queens.
The Projections
First, the numbers from the projection gurus.
Baseball-Reference Projection
HR: 19
RBI: 53
AVG: .239
SB: 22
FanGraphs (Depth Charts) Projection
HR: 21
RBI: 76
AVG: .235
SB: 29
These systems tend to be conservative, like Mets fans who refuse to believe a two-run lead in the ninth inning is safe.
So let’s average them out.
Luis Robert Jr. Under/Over 20 Home Runs
0%Under
0%Over
Luis Robert Jr. Under/Over 65 RBI
0%Under
0%Over
Luis Robert Jr. Under/Over .237 Batting Average
0%Under
0%Over
Luis Robert Jr. Under/Over 26 Stolen Bases
0%Under
0%Over
The computers have run the numbers.
The crystal ball has been consulted.
Now it’s your turn.
Drop your predictions in the comments below and let the debates begin. And if you want to talk Mets baseball every day with fellow fans, be sure to join our ever-growing Kiner’s Korner Facebook group, where the discussion continues long after the final out.
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